A new study applies a simple test to predict which of the new fall series will survive, and Media Life magazine reports that the system appears to be accurate.
The study comes from the smart remote app maker Peel, and examines the shows in a purely objective manner.
“What Peel examined, based on its database of 12 million active users, is which shows actually held their audience during the first 15 minutes of the premiere, something that Nielsen’s data doesn’t break down,” the story reports. “Peel then used that information to calculate which shows are most likely to stick around and which are most likely to be canceled.”
Peel’s results tend to match how well the shows did in week two. Topping the list of “likely winners,” along with the percent of viewers who stayed tuned to the premiere after 15 minutes, are: “Limitless” (CBS, 73.8%), “Rosewood” (Fox, 73.3%), “Blindspot” (NBC, 72.5%), “The Muppets” (ABC, 72.2%).
Here are the shows at the top of the list of “likely losers”: “Blood & Oil” (ABC, 60%), “Minority Report” (Fox, 62.9%), “Life in Pieces” (CBS, 63.3%), “The Player” (NBC, 65%).